Arsenal VS Nottingham Forest Predictions

Arsenal have a 45.22% chance of victory compared to 39.3% for Nottingham Forest

Gunners play Forest who have been dark horses for UCL qualification race this season.

Prediction:

Both teams to score and get carded, Chris Wood over 2.5 shots and a goal or assist, Saka to assist or score, over 7.5 corners and no clean sheet second half.

Data Analysis:

Arsenal have a 45.22% chance of victory compared to 39.3% for Nottingham Forest and 15.5% for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 to Arsenal (8% probability).

What's at stake:

Arsenal aim to end their four-game winless run in the Premier League and solidify their top-four position. Nottingham Forest look to continue their impressive away form and potentially leapfrog Arsenal in the table.

Match decider:

Arsenal's strong home record against Forest and their need to bounce back after recent poor results versus Forest's solid away form and defensive stability.

Players to watch out for:

Arsenal:

Martin Ødegaard  

Gunners captain leadership skills and creativity would be sorely needed in this game.

Nottingham Forest:

Chris Wood

Scored 8 goals in the Premier League this season, dark horse for golden boot, would be headache for Gunners defence.

Players out:

Arsenal: Ben White (knee), Leandro Trossard (unspecified)

Nottingham Forest: Danilo (ankle), Ibrahim Sangare (thigh)

Probable line up:

Arsenal (4-3-3): Raya; Partey, Saliba, Gabriel, Timber; Odegaard, Rice, Merino; Saka, Havertz, Martinelli

Nottingham Forest (4-2-3-1): Sels; Aina, Milenkovic, Murillo, Moreno; Yates, Dominguez; Elanga, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi; Wood

Form:

Arsenal: WDWLLD (all competitions), WWLDLD (Premier League)

Nottingham Forest: LDWWWL (all competitions)

Head to Head:

Arsenal have won 3 of the last 4 Premier League meetings with Nottingham Forest. Forest haven't won at Arsenal in over 25 years.

Key stats:

Arsenal are undefeated in 26 of their last 29 Premier League matches

Arsenal have won their last 5 home matches against Nottingham Forest in all competitions

Arsenal are undefeated in their last 8 Premier League games at the Emirates

Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in 7 away games in the Premier League

Nottingham Forest have the second-best defence in the Premier League this season

XGA, average possession, touches in box, attack and defensive stats:

Arsenal average 55.9% possession and 5.3 shots on target per game at home. Nottingham Forest average 40.6% possession and 4.9 shots on target away from home.

Player Analysis:

Arsenal's Bukayo Saka leads the team with 6 assists, while Chris Wood is Forest's top scorer with 8 goals. Wilfred Ndidi has the most touches in the opposition box (33) for Forest.

Team Analysis:

Arsenal have struggled recently, winning only once since early October. However, they remain strong at home, scoring multiple goals in 7 of their last 8 Premier League matches at the Emirates. Nottingham Forest have been impressive defensively, conceding just 10 goals this season, and have spent the least time trailing in matches (103 minutes).