Chelsea VS Burnley Predictions
Chelsea win has a probability of 56.46%, a draw has a probability of 14.5% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 29.08%
Chelsea host Burnley at Stamford bridge in what should be an entertaining premier league game on Saturday, the two teams meet for the first time since October last year when Chelsea cruised to a 4-1 victory over the Clarets at Turf Moor, Chelsea beat Leicester City by a 4-2 margin in the FA Cup in their previous game while Burnley side edged Brentford to a narrow 2-1 victory last week.
Prediction:
After not playing for England we can expect a positive Cole Palmer reaction, So Palmer to score or assist, no clean sheet both halves, over 0.5 both halves, expect a very physical game so over 4.5 cards, Chelsea to also win or draw both halves
What's at stake:
Chelsea are 11th place in the league table at the moment and have been disappointing this season and have also failed to meet expectations, they would be coming into this game with confidence after their fa cup victory against Leicester city, Burnley are currently in 19th place in the Premier League standings and have been poor this season, they need to be at their best to get something from this game.
Data Analysis:
Chelsea win has a probability of 56.46%, a draw has a probability of 14.5% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 29.08%, the most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 2-0 with a probability of 10%, the next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (9%) and 2-1 (8%), the likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6%), while for a Burnley win it is 1-2 (5%).
Players to watch out for:
Chelsea
Cole Palmer
He didn’t see minutes in the last England game, first due to injury, although he recovered and still didn’t feature in the second game, shows he still needs to put in more shift to make England final Euros squad, putting in a good shift in this game can help his cause
Burnley
Trafford
He missed out totally in the last England squad and needs to impress more, helping Burnley to miraculously escape relegation would give him so much point to make the squad
Players out:
Chelsea:
Out: Wesley Fofana (knee), Romeo Lavia (thigh), Christopher Nkunku (hamstring), Reece James (hamstring), Lesley Ugochukwu (hamstring), Levi Colwill (toe), Carney Chukwuemeka (unspecified), Robert Sanchez (unspecified), Trevoh Chalobah (unspecified)
Doubtful: Enzo Fernandez (fitness), Ben Chilwell (knee), Malo Gusto (illness)
Burnley:
Out: David Datro Fofana (ineligible), Aaron Ramsey (knee), Luca Koleosho (knee), Nathan Redmond (thigh)
Doubtful: Jordan Beyer (thigh), Ameen Al-Dakhil (unspecified)
Probable line up:
Chelsea Probable Lineup (4-2-3-1): Petrovic; Gusto, Disasi, Silva, Chilwell; Caicedo, Fernandez; Palmer, Gallagher, Sterling; Jackson
Burnley Probable Lineup (4-4-2): Trafford; Assignon, O’Shea, Esteve, Taylor; Vitinho, Cullen, Berge, Larsen; Odobert, Foster
Form:
Chelsea
All competitions
DLWDWW
Premier League
LLWDDW
Last Game: Chelsea 4-2 Leicester
Burnley
All competitions
LLLLDW
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Brentford
Key stats:
Chelsea’s only defeat in their 17 Premier League games against Burnley came at Stamford Bridge in August 2017 (W12 D4). The Blues have scored in all 17 of those encounters, their best goalscoring run against one team.
Chelsea have won five of their last six home league fixtures, one more than they had managed in their previous 22. On Saturday, they can score in 12 consecutive league games for the first time since 2019.
Burnley have taken four points from their last two league outings, the first time this term they have gone unbeaten in consecutive games. The Clarets have lost all nine league away fixtures in which they have fallen behind. Chelsea need one more league win to eclipse last season’s final total of 11. Cole Palmer has been directly involved in 19 goals in 19 Premier League starts this term, scoring 11 times and registering eight assists. The Englishman has scored in his last five starts for Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.