Chelsea VS Crystal Palace Predictions
Chelsea Look to Reignite Form in London Derby Against Crystal Palace
Chelsea will aim to start 2025 on a high note as they face Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park in a crucial Premier League clash. The Blues are desperate to end their three-game winless streak, while the Eagles hope to build on their recent resurgence and distance themselves further from the relegation zone.
Prediction
Both teams to score and get carded, Chelsea to score at least one goal, over 3.5 cards, over 7.5 corners and Chelsea to win any half.
Data Analysis
Expected Goals (xG): Chelsea have been dominant in creating chances, with their xG reflecting their attacking quality despite recent setbacks.
Possession: Chelsea average over 60% possession this season, while Palace tend to sit back and counter.
Touches in Box: Chelsea lead significantly in touches in the opposition box, showcasing their attacking intent.
Defensive Stats: Chelsea boast one of the league’s best defensive records on the road, while Palace have struggled defensively in London derbies.
Chelsea enter the match with a 47.83% probability of victory, compared to Crystal Palace’s 31.06%, a draw is slightly more likely than a Palace win at 21.1%, the most probable scoreline is a 1-2 Chelsea win (9%), followed by 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7%).
What’s at Stake
For Chelsea, this is an opportunity to halt their slide and maintain their top-four position amidst intense competition. For Crystal Palace, a win would be invaluable in their fight against relegation and could mark their first league victory over Chelsea since 2017.
Match Decider
The game could hinge on Chelsea’s ability to break down Palace’s deep defensive setup while containing counterattacks led by Eberechi Eze and Ismaïla Sarr. Set pieces may also play a pivotal role for both sides. With both teams under pressure for different reasons, expect a closely contested London derby where Chelsea's superior firepower might just edge it.
Players to Watch Out For
Chelsea:
Nicolas Jackson
He has scored 9 goals but needs to recover from his poor form.
Crystal Palace:
Jean-Philippe Mateta
With 12 goals this term, he can be a thorn in Chelsea flesh.
Players Out
Crystal Palace:
Adam Wharton (groin), Matheus Franca (muscle), Rob Holding (personal reasons).
Chelsea:
Benoît Badiashile (unknown), Wesley Fofana (hamstring), Mykhailo Mudryk (suspended).
Doubtful: Romeo Lavia, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Carney Chukwuemeka.
Probable Lineups
Crystal Palace (3-4-3): Henderson; Richards, Lacroix, Guehi; Munoz, Lerma, Doucouré, Mitchell; Sarr, Mateta, Eze.
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Sánchez; Gusto, Adarabioyo, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernández; Neto, Palmer, Sancho; Jackson.
Form
| Team | All Competitions | Premier League |
|------------------|------------------|----------------|
| **Chelsea** | WWWDLL | WWWDLL |
| **Crystal Palace** | DWLLDW | WDWLDW |
Head-to-Head
Chelsea dominate this fixture historically:
Last Meeting: 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge in September 2024.
Chelsea have won 12 of their last 15 away matches against Palace.
Crystal Palace last beat Chelsea in 2017.
Key Stats
Chelsea have scored at least once in each of their last 21 league games against Crystal Palace.
Crystal Palace have lost their first league game of the year for three consecutive years by an aggregate score of 12-2.
Cole Palmer was involved in more Premier League goals in 2024 than any other Chelsea player (26 goals + assists).