Chelsea VS Southampton Predictions
Chelsea are favored to win with a 48.72% probability, compared to 28.65% for Southampton and 22.6% for a draw.
High flying Chelsea would hope to continue their impressive run when they meet bottom barrel Southampton.
Prediction:
Both teams to score, Chelsea to keep a clean sheet any half, Chelsea to win or draw both halves and full time and over 2.5 goals.
Data Analysis:
Chelsea are favored to win with a 48.72% probability, compared to 28.65% for Southampton and 22.6% for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 to Chelsea (9.35% probability), followed by 1-1 (10.09%) and 2-1 to Southampton (6.95%).
What's at stake:
Chelsea aim to continue their strong form and potentially move into second place in the Premier League. Southampton look to build on recent improved performances and climb off the bottom of the table.
Match decider:
Chelsea's attacking prowess against Southampton's vulnerable defense could be the key factor. Southampton's ability to exploit Chelsea's injury-hit backline may also prove crucial.
Players to watch out for:
Chelsea:
Nicolas Jackson
His chances of becoming Chelsea next Drogba has highly increased as he has become more lethal in goal.
Southampton:
Adam Armstrong
He is one of the few bright spots in Southampton's disastrous season so far.
Players out:
Southampton:
Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Tyler Dibling, Flynn Downes, Lesley Ugochukwu, Jan Bednarek, Adam Lallana, Aaron Ramsdale, Gavin Bazunu
Doubtful: Will Smallbone, Paul Onuachu, Ross Stewart
Chelsea:
Wesley Fofana, Reece James, Omari Kellyman
Probable line up:
Southampton (5-4-1): Lumley; Sugawara, Walker-Peters, Wood, Stephens, Manning; Fraser, Aribo, Mateus Fernandes, Armstrong; Archer
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Sanchez; Gusto, Badiashile, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez; Madueke, Palmer, Neto; Jackson
Form:
Chelsea: DWDWWW (all competitions), LWDDWW (Premier League)
Southampton: LWWLLD (all competitions), LLWLLD (Premier League)
Head to Head:
Chelsea have won 49 of the 131 meetings between the two sides, with 49 draws and 33 Southampton victories. Chelsea have lost just one of their last ten visits to St. Mary's, winning seven and drawing two since January 2014.
Key stats:
Southampton have the third-worst defensive record in the Premier League, conceding 25 goals
Chelsea are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 Premier League games
Southampton have failed to win 25 of their 26 most recent Premier League matches
Player Analysis:
Cole Palmer has been instrumental for Chelsea, providing creativity and goals from midfield. For Southampton, Cameron Archer has shown promise up front, scoring crucial goals despite the team's struggles.
Team Analysis:
Chelsea have shown remarkable improvement under Enzo Maresca, with a fluid attacking style and solid defensive organization. Southampton have struggled for consistency but have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, particularly in their ability to compete against top teams.