Italy VS Albania Predictions
Italy win has a probability of 54.77%, a draw has a probability of 23.8% and a win for Albania has a probability of 21.39%
Italy play Albania as they both start their Euros quest, Italy are seen as dark horses and have quality to scale through this game while for Albania qualifying from this group would be seen as a success
Prediction:
Italy to score first goal, over 2.5 goals full time, over 2.5 cards, Italy to get more corners, second half highest scoring half and Italy to win or draw any half
Data Analysis:
Italy win has a probability of 54.77%, a draw has a probability of 23.8% and a win for Albania has a probability of 21.39%, the most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%, the next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.74%), the likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Albania win it is 0-1 (6.6%).
What's at stake:
In what should be an easy match for Italy anything less than three points would put them on the edge, Albania would hope to act as spoilers in this game as they hope for an unlikely qualification
Players to watch out for:
Italy
Chiesa
With reports of his club future uncertain, he would aim to use Euros to remind people of his quality
Albania
Asani
In what is a talented squad, he was qualities to cause havoc in the middle and they would need his supply in this game
Players out:
Italy
No major injury to report
Albania
No major injury to report
Probable line up:
Italy Probable Lineup (3-4-1-2): Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Buongiorno, Bastoni; Cambiasso, Cristante, Jorginho, Dimarco; Pellegrini; Scamacca, Chiesa
Albania Probable Lineup (4-2-1-3): Berisha; Hysaj, Ismajli, Djimsiti, Mitaj; Asllani, Ramadani; Bajrami; Asani, Broja, Seferi
Form:
Italy form (all competitions):
WDWWDW
Albania form (all competitions):
DDLLWW
Key stats:
Italy are unbeaten in their last six international games.
Italy have not conceded in 317 minutes of International football.
Italy have won their last four matches against Albania in all competitions.
Sylvinho will become the first Brazilian to lead a European team in the Euros after Luiz Felipe Scolari did with Portugal in 2008.
Albania only conceded four goals in their eight qualifying games and have won their two pre-tournament friendlies.