Man Utd VS Aston Villa Predictions
Aston Villa's win has a probability of 41.56%, a win for Manchester United has a probability of 35.48%
Manchester United host Aston Villa at Old Trafford in what should be an intense and mouth-watering encounter, United's frustrations continued in a 2-0 defeat to West Ham United over the weekend, while Aston Villa's excellent winning home run came to an unexpected end in a 1-1 draw with Sheffield United, United also come into this match on a four-game scoreless run in all competitions, nine points separate the two teams coming into this game with third-placed Villa has the advantage over United in eighth.
Prediction:
Both teams to score seems very expected, Luke Shaw 1+ Foul, Douglas Luiz 1+ Foul & Over total 2.5 Match Cards, Douglas Luiz Over 1.5 Fouls Committed, Over 2.5goals, Aston Villa to win or draw, Villa to score first and last goal
What's at stake:
United have been poor and disappointing this season. they are also on a 4 game-scoreless run in all competitions. they would be looking to get things right against Villa, Villa on the other hand has been excellent this season and is in third position in the league table, although they would be disappointed with their last result which ended in a 1-1 home draw against Sheffield United. they would be looking to make things worse for the United side coming into this game.
Data Analysis:
Aston Villa's win has a probability of 41.56%, a win for Manchester United has a probability of 35.48% and a draw has a probability of 23%, the most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 3-1 with a probability of 8%, the next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7%) and 2-0 (6%), the likeliest Manchester United win is 1-2 (5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (5%).
Players to watch out for:
Manchester United
Onana
With more pressure on him, he needs to start shutting out doubters
Aston Villa
Luiz
The star player has been linked with big clubs, and with his team in an unlikely title challenge, big games like this would help his profile
Players out:
Manchester United
Out: Amad Diallo (knee), Lisandro Martinez (foot), Mason Mount (calf), Harry Maguire (groin), Victor Lindelof (unspecified), Casemiro (thigh), Tyrell Malacia (knee)
Doubtful: Rasmus Hojlund (illness), Raphael Varane (illness), Anthony Martial (illness)
Aston Villa
Out: Matty Cash (suspended), Emiliano Buendia (knee), Tyrone Mings (knee), Bertrand Traore (muscle), Youri Tielemans (calf), Robin Olsen (knock)
Doubtful: Pau Torres (ankle)
Probable lineup:
Manchester United Probable Lineup (4-2-3-1): Onana; Dalot, Varane, Evans, Shaw; McTominay, Mainoo; Antony, Bruno Fernandes, Garnacho; Rashford Fernandes, Alejandro Garnacho, Rasmus Højlund.
Aston Villa Probable Lineup (4-4-2): Martinez; Konsa, Carlos, Lenglet, Moreno; Zaniolo, McGinn, Luiz, Ramsey; Diaby, Watkins
Form:
Manchester United
All competitions
LWLLDL
Premier League
WLWLDL
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Man Utd
Aston Villa
All competitions
DWWDWD
Premier League
WDWWWD
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Sheff Utd
Key stats:
Manchester United have failed to win any of their last 3 matches
Aston Villa have not lost any of their last 7 matches
Aston Villa have won 12 of their past 18 matches this season
Aston Villa have scored 2 or more goals in 10 of their past 18 matches this season
Aston Villa has avoided defeat against Man United in three out of the last four Premier League encounters.
Manchester United have won 38 of their 56 Premier League games against Aston Villa, drawing 13 and losing five. The Villans have two wins from their last four Premier League meetings with
Manchester United, as many as they had mustered in their previous 51 against them (D12 L37).
Manchester United could lose three successive games at Old Trafford for the first time since October 1962 under Sir Matt Busby. Erik ten Hag’s men have lost four of their last seven home league games, winning the other three.
Aston Villa are on a ten-match unbeaten run in all competitions (W7 D3), last losing away to Nottingham Forest at the start of November. Unai Emery’s men have picked up seven points from their last nine available on the road.
Manchester United have lost 13 matches in all competitions this season, their most defeats before Christmas since 1930. The Red Devils have also failed to score in four successive games in all competitions for the first time since November 1992.
Scott McTominay has scored four of Manchester United’s ten Premier League goals at Old Trafford this season, and he is the only player to find the back of the net more than once for the Red Devils at home in the top flight.