Man Utd VS Everton Predictions

Everton Aim to Extend Resurgence Against Struggling Manchester United at Goodison Park

Everton host Manchester United at Goodison Park in a Premier League clash contrasting two teams on diverging trajectories. Under David Moyes, Everton have risen to 12th with four wins in their last five league games, while United languish in 15th after a dismal run under Ruben Amorim, with Everton eyeing a top-half push and United desperate to avoid a deepening crisis, this fixture promises high stakes.

Prediction

Both teams to score, Everton to win any half, over 2.5 goals full time, over 7.5 corners and over 4.5 cards full time.

Data Analysis

Everton’s Form: Unbeaten in five Premier League matches (W4 D1), scoring 12 goals in their last five games.

Manchester United’s Struggles: Winless in four of their last five league games, failing to score in 10 matches this season—the joint-most in their Premier League history.

Head-to-Head: Everton have lost their last five league meetings with United, failing to score in four. Their last victory came in April 2021.

Moyes’ Edge: The Everton manager has won his last two home league games against United (with West Ham) and seeks a third straight victory at Goodison.

What’s at Stake

Everton could climb into the top half with a win, solidifying their resurgence under Moyes. For United, sitting just five points above the relegation zone, defeat would intensify pressure on Amorim and raise alarm about their worst-ever Premier League finish.

Match Decider

Beto’s red-hot form (4 goals in 3 games) against United’s leaky defense, which has conceded 1.6 goals per game under Amorim. Everton’s improved attacking efficiency under Moyes (40% shot conversion rate for Beto) contrasts sharply with United’s toothless attack (1 first-half non-penalty goal in 10 games).

Players to Watch Out For

Everton:

Beto

He has scored 4 goals in last 3 games and has seen revival under Moyes

Manchester United:

Rasmus Højlund

Time is running out, as he is now fighting for his future next season.

Players Out

Everton:

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (hamstring), Dwight McNeil (knee), Seamus Coleman (calf), Armando Broja (ankle).

Manchester United:

Lisandro Martínez (knee), Luke Shaw (calf), Mason Mount (hamstring), Kobbie Mainoo (muscle).

Probable Lineup

Everton (4-4-1-1): Pickford; O’Brien, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Lindstrøm, Gueye, Garner, Harrison; Alcaraz; Beto.

Manchester United (3-4-2-1): Onana; Mazraoui, Maguire, de Ligt; Dalot, Ugarte, Fernandes, Dorgu; Zirkzee, Garnacho; Højlund.

Form

Everton: WWWWD (last five Premier League games).

Manchester United: LLWLL.

Head-to-Head

Last five meetings: Everton 0 wins, Manchester United 5 wins.

Reverse fixture: Manchester United 4-0 Everton (December 2024).

Key Stats

Everton have scored 2+ goals in three straight home games—their best run since 2017.

United have the league’s worst first-half scoring record (1 goal in 10 games).

Moyes could become the first manager to win three consecutive home league games against United since Sir Alex Ferguson retired.

Advanced Metrics

xG (Expected Goals): Everton averaging 1.8 per game under Moyes; United at 1.2 under Amorim.

Average Possession: Everton 48%, United 52%.

Touches in Opponent’s Box: Everton 18 per game; United 15.

Defensive Stats: Everton concede 1.2 goals per game; United concede 1.6.