Real Madrid VS Sevilla Predictions
Los Blancos Aim to Extend Dominance Over Sevilla in La Liga Clash
Real Madrid welcome Sevilla to the Santiago Bernabéu, looking to maintain their impressive record against the Andalusian side and keep up their title push, this match presents a significant challenge for Sevilla against a Real Madrid side that has dominated this fixture in recent years. With Los Blancos' strong home form and Sevilla's poor away record against top teams, the hosts will be confident of securing another victory to maintain their title push.
Prediction:
Both teams to score, Rodrygo to score or assist, over 2.5 goals and Madrid not to lose any half and full time win.
Data Analysis:
Real Madrid win probability: 51.51%
Draw probability: 26.7%
Sevilla win probability: 21.77%
Most likely scorelines:
Real Madrid win 3-1 (10%)
Real Madrid win 2-1 (9%)
Real Madrid win 2-0 (8%)
What's at stake:
Real Madrid aim to maintain their title push and extend their unbeaten run against Sevilla. The visitors seek a rare away victory against a top Spanish side to boost their mid-table position.
Match decider:
Real Madrid's home dominance vs Sevilla's poor away record against top teams. Los Blancos have won their last three home games against Sevilla, while the Andalusians haven't won away against Madrid, Barcelona, or Atletico in their last 46 attempts.
Players to watch out for:
Real Madrid
Rodrygo
He has scored two goals in Real Madrid’s last three against Sevilla, was also on the scoresheet last weekend in Real Madrid’s thrilling 3-3 tie at Rayo Vallecano and again in midweek with a goal against Pachuca
Sevilla
Jesus Navas
Set to retire after this game, all eyes would be on him as he plays his last game.
Players out:
Real Madrid:
Vinicius Jr (suspended), Carvajal, Militao, Alaba (injured)
Sevilla:
Sow, Nianzou (doubtful)
Probable line up:
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Courtois; Vazquez, Tchouameni, Rudiger, F Garcia; Valverde, Camavinga; Rodrygo, Bellingham, Brahim; Mbappe
Sevilla (4-3-3): Fernandez; Montiel, Bade, Gudelj, Salas; Bueno, Agoume, Saul; Navas, Romero, Lukebakio
Form:
Real Madrid: WLWWDW
Sevilla: LWDWLW
Head to Head:
Real Madrid have won 37 of their last 58 matches against Sevilla, losing only 16. Los Blancos are unbeaten in their last 11 league games against Sevilla.
Key stats:
Real Madrid have won their last 3 home games against Sevilla
Sevilla's last away league win vs Real Madrid was in 2008 (4-3)
Sevilla are winless in their last 46 away league games against Madrid, Barcelona, and Atletico combined
Real Madrid have not lost to Sevilla in the league since September 2018 (11 games)
Performance Metrics:
Real Madrid are averaging 2.3 goals per game in La Liga this season, while conceding just 0.8. Their xG of 2.1 and xGA of 0.9 per game highlight their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. Sevilla have struggled away from home, averaging just 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in away fixtures.